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Saturday, May 14, 2016

50% of 26 Million Latinos Eligible to Vote are Not Registered to Vote

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This is from a respectable, subscription-only blog, THE VOICE OF THE MAINLAND WHERE "THE EDITOR" provides the following update for the Latino Civil Rights Community.  This should concern us greatly.  Folks need to get active in their communities, conduct registration drives.  Great advice provided herein in how to go about this.  The numbers bleed off the page, but hopefully, you can still decipher these. 

In short, "We have 136 days to register 12,454,298 Latinos."

-Angela


 50% of 26 Million Latinos Eligible to Vote are Not Registered to Vote


The Editor: There are approximately 6 months until election day and we are going to be confronted with difficult times if we do not vote.  I have been conducting my statistical research about how Latinos vote.  The story line in most political media is that we do not vote, that is, Latinos do not vote.  The truth is that we do vote, if we are registered to vote.  Our turnout rate is on par with the rest of America on voting.  Our problem is that 1/2 of the Latino eligible voting population is not registered to vote.  In numbers, of the 25,416,934 Latinos who are US Citizens, who are 18 and over years of age and are eligible to vote, only 12,962,636 are registered to vote and 12,454,298 are not registered to vote.  The voter turnout rate for the US since 1960 runs as follows:

1960 62.77% 1976 53.55% 1992 55.24% 2008 58.23%
1964 61.92% 1980 52.56% 1996 49.00% 2012 54.87%
1968 60.84% 1984 53.27% 2000 51.21%

1972 55.21% 1988 50.15% 2004 56.70%


Projection for voter turnout for 2016 should be along the lines of 2008 and 2012.  If it is historic, the turnout could be as high as the '60 turnout of 62.77%.

The Latino vote is projected to have a significant impact in the 2016 general election.  The impact is significant when the difference in the winning vote is small.  Latinos could double the impact by registering the 12.5 million Latinos who are not registered to vote.  Doubling the Latino voting pool could have a definite impact in states like Nevada, Colorado and Arizona and if done to the hilt could even turn a state like Texas BLUE 2,360,820 are not registered to vote in Texas.  Wendy Davis lost Texas by 960,951 votes.  Another 2.36 million Latinos in the "voter bank" would have elected Wendy Davis, in spite of the 30% Texas Latino who voted against Davis.

Getting Latinos to vote is not the problem.  Get them registered and they will turn out to vote.  Latinos do not have to be told who to vote for.  Get them registered to vote and they will know how to vote.  We have 136 days to register 12,454,298 Latinos.
To conduct a registration drive, I would advice you to carve out the area by city block or by voting precinct designation and drive them to the registration office.  Do not try to get voter registration lists.  They are usually incomplete, that is, they will be telling you 1/2 the story, since we know from starters that 50% of Latinos are not registered to vote.  Don't try to become a registrar.  It's too messy, too complicated and too crazy.  Take them to the registrar's office and be their register advocate.  Registering voters is a house by house project.  You have to knock on the door when people are home from work.  Your first task is to figure out how many in the house are eligible to vote, US Citizen, 18 and over.  Next assess who is registered and who is not registered.  As you identify unregistered qualified to vote, but not registered, offer them assistance to get them registered.  Make sure they have photo identifications and if they don't, assist them in getting a photo ID from the agencies who handle driver's licenses in the state.  Assist them in going to the registrar's office prepared.
I have prepared a listing of Latino eligible voters by state.  Check out you state.  Our goal should be to get 12,454,298 Latinos registered to vote.  Let's help keep America BLUEThe Editor is asking the Dreamers to get involved in this project.  There are 713,000 DACA participants.  This is a good project for DACA.  Obviously, it is also a good project for all Latinos.
State Total Population Eligible Voter Pop Latino Pop Latino Eligible Voter Pop Hispanics Who Are Eligible to Vote Who Are Registered Hispanics Who Are Eligible to Vote Who Are Not Registered Share Latino among Total Pop Share Latino among Eligible Voters Share of Latino pop eligible to vote
AL 4,850,000 3,647,000 193,000 66,000 33,660 32,340 4.00% 1.80% 34.20%
AK 737,000 529,000 49,000 29,000 14,790 14,210 6.60% 5.50% 59.20%
AZ 6,730,000 4,595,000 2,057,000 986,000 502,860 483,140 30.60% 21.50% 47.90%
AR 2,966,000 2,171,000 205,000 60,000 30,600 29,400 6.90% 2.80% 29.30%
CA 38,801,000 24,663,000 14,987,000 6,910,000 3,524,100 3,385,900 38.60% 28.00% 46.10%
CO 5,356,000 3,811,000 1,135,000 551,000 281,010 269,990 21.20% 14.50% 48.50%
CT 3,596,000 2,590,000 541,000 284,000 144,840 139,160 15.00% 11.00% 52.50%
DL 936,000 694,000 83,000 40,000 20,400 19,600 8.90% 5.80% 48.20%
DC 659,000 493,000 68,000 27,000 13,770 13,230 10.30% 5.50% 39.70%
FL 19,894,000 14,159,000 4,787,000 2,566,000 1,308,660 1,257,340 24.10% 18.10% 53.60%
GA 10,097,000 7,068,000 922,000 288,000 146,880 141,120 9.10% 4.10% 31.20%
HI 1,420,000 1,016,000 144,000 85,000 43,350 41,650 10.10% 8.40% 59.00%
ID 1,634,000 1,148,000 197,000 82,000 41,820 40,180 12.10% 7.10% 41.60%
IL 12,883,000 9,051,000 2,151,000 932,000 475,320 456,680 16.70% 10.30% 43.30%
IN 6,596,000 4,838,000 428,000 170,000 86,700 83,300 6.50% 3.50% 39.70%
IA 3,108,000 2,295,000 172,000 65,000 33,150 31,850 5.50% 2.80% 37.80%
KS 2,903,000 2,067,000 328,000 129,000 65,790 63,210 11.30% 6.20% 39.30%
KY 4,414,000 3,309,000 145,000 46,000 23,460 22,540 3.30% 1.40% 31.70%
LO 4,651,000 3,428,000 223,000 95,000 48,450 46,550 4.80% 2.80% 42.60%
ME 1,330,000 1,052,000 20,000 12,000 6,120 5,880 1.50% 1.10% 60.00%
MD 5,975,000 4,214,000 557,000 193,000 98,430 94,570 9.30% 4.60% 34.60%
MA 6,745,000 4,892,000 729,000 373,000 190,230 182,770 10.80% 7.60% 51.20%
MI 9,909,000 7,414,000 477,000 224,000 114,240 109,760 4.80% 3.00% 47.00%
MN 5,459,000 3,987,000 277,000 95,000 48,450 46,550 5.10% 2.40% 34.30%
MS 2,994,000 2,223,000 81,000 30,000 15,300 14,700 2.70% 1.30% 37.00%
MO 6,063,000 4,558,000 233,000 104,000 53,040 50,960 3.80% 2.30% 44.60%
MT 1,024,000 788,000 35,000 19,000 9,690 9,310 3.40% 2.40% 54.30%
NE 1,881,000 1,343,000 190,000 67,000 34,170 32,830 10.10% 5.00% 35.30%
NV 2,839,000 1,895,000 790,000 325,000 165,750 159,250 27.80% 17.20% 41.10%
NH 1,327,000 1,027,000 43,000 22,000 11,220 10,780 3.20% 2.10% 51.20%
NJ 8,938,000 6,104,000 1,729,000 824,000 420,240 403,760 19.30% 13.50% 47.70%
NM 2,085,000 1,467,000 994,000 596,000 303,960 292,040 47.70% 40.60% 60.00%
NY 19,745,000 13,626,000 3,671,000 1,871,000 954,210 916,790 18.60% 13.70% 51.00%
NC 9,944,000 7,203,000 890,000 250,000 127,500 122,500 9.00% 3.50% 28.10%
ND 739,000 559,000 21,000 11,000 5,610 5,390 2.80% 2.00% 52.40%
OH 11,595,000 8,743,000 399,522 200,934 102,476 98,458 3.40% 2.30% 50.30%
OK 3,878,000 2,788,000 378,000 135,000 68,850 66,150 9.70% 4.80% 35.70%
OR 3,970,000 2,899,000 498,000 184,000 93,840 90,160 12.50% 6.30% 36.90%
PA 12,788,000 9,725,000 836,000 431,000 219,810 211,190 6.50% 4.40% 51.60%
RI 1,055,000 779,000 148,000 66,000 33,660 32,340 14.00% 8.50% 44.60%
SC 4,833,000 3,620,000 257,000 87,000 44,370 42,630 5.30% 2.40% 33.90%
SD 853,000 632,000 29,000 15,000 7,650 7,350 3.40% 2.40% 51.70%
TN 6,547,000 4,873,000 322,000 91,000 46,410 44,590 4.90% 1.90% 28.30%
TX 26,956,000 17,158,000 10,409,000 4,818,000 2,457,180 2,360,820 38.60% 28.10% 46.30%
UT 2,943,000 1,897,000 397,000 145,000 73,950 71,050 13.50% 7.60% 36.50%
VT 627,000 493,000 11,000 7,000 3,570 3,430 1.80% 1.40% 63.60%
VA 8,324,000 6,003,000 733,000 283,000 144,330 138,670 8.80% 4.70% 38.60%
WA 7,061,000 4,999,000 857,000 334,000 170,340 163,660 12.10% 6.70% 39.00%
WI 7,609,000 5,772,000 396,000 164,000 83,640 80,360 5.20% 2.80% 41.40%
WY 584,000 432,000 57,000 29,000 14,790 14,210 9.80% 6.70% 50.90%

318,851,000 224,737,000 55,279,522 25,416,934 12,962,636 12,454,298 17.30% 11.30% 46.00%

Posted by Editor

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