by Angela Valenzuela, Ph.D.
September 29, 2025
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| Link to Emissary, Carnegie Endowment |
On September 26, 2025, Emissary (Carnegie Endowment) published a sobering warning by Devesh Kapur and Milan Vaishnav: “Trump’s H-1B Gambit Will Gut American Universities: The financial stakes alone are enormous.” They argue that the administration’s proposed $100,000 fee on new H-1B visas will devastate American higher education, already strained by research funding cuts and political attacks.
The numbers are staggering. In 2024, international students contributed nearly $55 billion to the U.S. economy, supporting 400,000 jobs—roughly a tenth of all positions in higher education (Kapur & Vaishnav, 2025). Their tuition subsidizes domestic students, their research drives innovation, and their presence enriches American classrooms. If that pipeline dries up, universities will face impossible choices: cut programs, lay off faculty, or raise costs for American families.
At the same time, Palmer (2025) with Inside Higher Ed reported that H-1B visas are not only essential for international graduates but also for the professionals who power our universities. In fiscal year 2025 alone, more than 16,700 employees at U.S. colleges and universities received approved H-1B visas, though they were concentrated at about 100 large research institutions (Knott, 2025). This illustrates how dependent our leading universities are on global talent to staff laboratories, research projects, and teaching positions. Without these visas, institutions risk losing the very scholars and specialists who sustain their reputations and research productivity.
Meanwhile, according to the Vanderbilt Project on Unity and American Democracy, new survey data show that public trust in higher education is rebounding. Specifically, 47 percent of respondents said they have “a great deal” or “quite a lot” of confidence in colleges and universities—a 13-point increase since 2023, and higher than trust levels in the police, the medical system, or large tech companies (Inside Higher Education, 2025). The irony is stark: at the very moment public trust in universities is rising, federal policy threatens to gut them from within.
This is not only an institutional crisis. It is also a human one.
For international professionals, the H-1B system is the bridge between education and livelihood. Families on H-1B visas often depend on dual incomes, with spouses on H4 visas authorized to work. If H4 work rights are rolled back, thousands of families will lose financial stability and face wrenching choices about whether to remain in the U.S. (Law Firm for Immigrants, 2025). Some families have already been split apart by the uncertainty—partners separated across borders, children pulled from schools, households forced to abandon mortgages.
Graduate students are equally vulnerable. Many take on massive debt to study in the United States, betting on the promise of post-graduation opportunities. As Reuters recently reported, students in India and elsewhere are already reconsidering or withdrawing from U.S. programs, fearful that their degrees will trap them in debt with no path to work authorization (Suresh, 2025). One student, after borrowing $80,000, confessed: “The only aim is to finish my degree, find an internship, and try to recover my debt” (Suresh, 2025). These stories are multiplying, and they reveal how quickly the American dream can curdle into a nightmare.
Kapur and Vaishnav (2025) rightly note that other countries—Canada, the United Kingdom, Australia, and even China—are eagerly opening doors to the same talent the U.S. is pushing away. If we retreat, they advance. We cannot afford to repeat Britain’s 2012 blunder, when restrictions on post-study visas caused enrollment to collapse until the government was forced into a humiliating reversal years later (Kapur & Vaishnav, 2025).
Public confidence is not abstract. It rests on the belief that higher education is a ladder of opportunity. If policy weakens that ladder, the damage will not be limited to international students—it will hurt American families, workers, and communities who depend on strong universities to educate, innovate, and create jobs.
And beyond our borders, there is a larger truth. As the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace has long argued, openness to immigrants through pathways like the historic H-1B process is itself a form of global peacebuilding. When we welcome students, scholars, and professionals from around the world, we do more than strengthen our own universities—we cultivate mutual understanding, shared prosperity, and policies that acknowledge the realities of living in an interconnected world.
Protecting our universities protects all Americans. But it also affirms our role in building a more peaceful, collaborative, and globally minded future.
This is an evolving situation and there will be court challenges. To stay current, advocates and H-1B holders should:
Monitor official US Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS), Department of Homeland Security (DHS), and State Department news and alert pages, especially the USCIS “H-1B FAQ” and “Alerts” sections (USCIS.gov).
Subscribe to trusted immigration policy organizations and legal blogs (e.g. American Immigration Council, Boundless, and trusted immigration law firms) that publish rapid analysis and updates.
Follow reputable media coverage of legal and policy developments—especially from outlets covering immigration, higher education, and science & tech.
Track court filings and Federal Register announcements for any injunctions, stays, or rulemaking that could suspend or modify the new fee.
Engage with university, professional association, and immigration advocacy networks that often coordinate rapid alerts, memos, and “calls to action.”
If you are an H-1B visa holder, consider sharing your story—with your colleagues, your community, your representatives, and the wider public—so the human cost of these policies is impossible to overlook. Your experiences bring the data to life and remind us what is truly at stake. If you are a U.S. citizen, I encourage you to stand with those who make our universities thrive.
References
Kapur, D., & Vaishnav, M. (2025, September 26). Trump’s H-1B gambit will gut American universities: The financial stakes alone are enormous. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Emissary. https://carnegieendowment.org/emissary/2025/09/h1b-visa-trump-impact-us-universities?lang=en
Knott, K. (2025, September 24). Higher ed’s H-1B visas in 4 charts. Inside Higher Education. https://www.insidehighered.com/news/government/2025/09/29/4-charts-breaking-down-h-1b-visas-and-higher-ed
Palmer, K. (2025, September). Despite Trump’s attacks, confidence in higher education grows. Inside Higher Education. https://www.insidehighered.com/news/quick-takes/2025/09/26/poll-public-confidence-higher-ed-growing
Suresh, R. (2025, September 24). Trump’s immigration curbs make Indian students rethink American dream. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com
Villarroel, L. C. (2025). Trump 2025: Disaster for H-1B visa holders, their spouse, and employer. Law Firm for Immigrants. https://www.lawfirm4immigrants.com




