Instead, relatively small groups of lawmakers, donors, and activists on both sides are able to shape policy and set the political dialogue, Taylor said.

What does this mean for the election in November and beyond? Some experts say that higher education ought to take Trump’s threats seriously, if not literally, this time around. While Trump has distanced himself from the Heritage Foundation’s Project 2025 — which was largely drafted by his former advisers — it provides a blueprint that would enable a Republican administration to “hit the ground running,” Baker said.

Others are skeptical that campaign rhetoric will translate to policy changes. Big talk during elections doesn’t necessarily lead to big swings in policy, especially in Washington, where partisan gridlock often halts ambitious change, said Natow, the Hofstra professor. Republicans dating back to the presidency of Ronald Reagan have called for eliminating the Department of Education, she noted, but the agency is still around.

“Of course,” Natow added, “these are unprecedented times.”

And because higher education has become such a cultural flashpoint, politicians have incentive to keep it as a live issue, said Shepherd, author of Resistance from the Right: Conservatives and the Campus Wars in Modern America. Critics “need the boogeyman.”

For some, higher education is irreparably broken, rotted out. Others see it as inadequate to the task of educating students and advancing the frontiers of knowledge.

That leaves colleges as a constituency without a champion.